ADANIENT
Adani Enterprises LimitedMax Pain - ADANIENT
Strike 1840 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 352,148,894,415 Combined total value = 352,148,894,415
Strike 1860 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 335,761,388,415 Combined total value = 335,761,388,415
Strike 1880 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 319,373,882,415 Combined total value = 319,373,882,415
Strike 1900 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 303,043,232,415 Combined total value = 303,043,232,415
Strike 1900.2 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 302,879,925,915 Combined total value = 302,879,925,915
Strike 1920 has a total call value of 19,578,240 versus a total put value of 287,000,749,635 Combined total value = 287,020,327,875
Strike 1938.95 has a total call value of 38,316,000 versus a total put value of 271,834,289,580 Combined total value = 271,872,605,580
Strike 1940 has a total call value of 39,354,240 versus a total put value of 271,002,334,890 Combined total value = 271,041,689,130
Strike 1960 has a total call value of 59,130,240 versus a total put value of 255,186,478,890 Combined total value = 255,245,609,130
Strike 1977.75 has a total call value of 76,681,440 versus a total put value of 241,217,369,115 Combined total value = 241,294,050,555
Strike 1980 has a total call value of 78,906,240 versus a total put value of 239,453,589,390 Combined total value = 239,532,495,630
Strike 2000 has a total call value of 98,682,240 versus a total put value of 223,775,547,390 Combined total value = 223,874,229,630
Strike 2016.55 has a total call value of 123,229,200 versus a total put value of 211,310,294,265 Combined total value = 211,433,523,465
Strike 2020 has a total call value of 128,346,240 versus a total put value of 208,725,549,435 Combined total value = 208,853,895,675
Strike 2035.9 has a total call value of 151,929,120 versus a total put value of 196,844,199,705 Combined total value = 196,996,128,825
Strike 2040 has a total call value of 158,010,240 versus a total put value of 193,795,151,475 Combined total value = 193,953,161,715
Strike 2055.3 has a total call value of 180,703,200 versus a total put value of 182,423,614,665 Combined total value = 182,604,317,865
Strike 2060 has a total call value of 187,674,240 versus a total put value of 178,976,871,075 Combined total value = 179,164,545,315
Strike 2074.7 has a total call value of 209,477,280 versus a total put value of 168,248,412,705 Combined total value = 168,457,889,985
Strike 2080 has a total call value of 217,338,240 versus a total put value of 164,398,016,235 Combined total value = 164,615,354,475
Strike 2094.1 has a total call value of 239,994,120 versus a total put value of 154,266,045,285 Combined total value = 154,506,039,405
Strike 2100 has a total call value of 249,838,860 versus a total put value of 150,043,381,065 Combined total value = 150,293,219,925
Strike 2113.5 has a total call value of 348,703,410 versus a total put value of 140,921,144,865 Combined total value = 141,269,848,275
Strike 2120 has a total call value of 396,505,710 versus a total put value of 136,555,268,415 Combined total value = 136,951,774,125
Strike 2132.85 has a total call value of 491,404,245 versus a total put value of 128,158,137,795 Combined total value = 128,649,542,040
Strike 2140 has a total call value of 553,486,980 versus a total put value of 123,642,668,265 Combined total value = 124,196,155,245
Strike 2152.25 has a total call value of 678,400,230 versus a total put value of 115,988,892,765 Combined total value = 116,667,292,995
Strike 2160 has a total call value of 757,426,980 versus a total put value of 111,231,482,415 Combined total value = 111,988,909,395
Strike 2171.65 has a total call value of 903,940,875 versus a total put value of 104,199,175,440 Combined total value = 105,103,116,315
Strike 2180 has a total call value of 1,008,952,980 versus a total put value of 99,167,624,925 Combined total value = 100,176,577,905
Strike 2191.05 has a total call value of 1,203,576,630 versus a total put value of 92,662,414,785 Combined total value = 93,865,991,415
Strike 2200 has a total call value of 1,361,212,980 versus a total put value of 87,447,970,260 Combined total value = 88,809,183,240
Strike 2210.45 has a total call value of 1,976,992,815 versus a total put value of 82,016,385,255 Combined total value = 83,993,378,070
Strike 2220 has a total call value of 2,539,738,980 versus a total put value of 77,126,070,915 Combined total value = 79,665,809,895
Strike 2229.8 has a total call value of 3,262,873,140 versus a total put value of 72,297,908,835 Combined total value = 75,560,781,975
Strike 2240 has a total call value of 4,099,991,220 versus a total put value of 67,499,293,335 Combined total value = 71,599,284,555
Strike 2249.2 has a total call value of 5,089,854,180 versus a total put value of 63,411,346,935 Combined total value = 68,501,201,115
Strike 2260 has a total call value of 6,318,944,940 versus a total put value of 58,612,453,335 Combined total value = 64,931,398,275
Strike 2268.6 has a total call value of 8,247,685,860 versus a total put value of 55,065,090,075 Combined total value = 63,312,775,935
Strike 2280 has a total call value of 10,869,204,780 versus a total put value of 50,362,771,335 Combined total value = 61,231,976,115
Strike 2288 has a total call value of 12,988,203,180 versus a total put value of 47,244,590,535 Combined total value = 60,232,793,715
Strike 2300 has a total call value of 16,251,243,180 versus a total put value of 42,567,319,335 Combined total value = 58,818,562,515
Strike 2307.35 has a total call value of 20,171,475,195 versus a total put value of 40,492,623,810 Combined total value = 60,664,099,005
Strike 2320 has a total call value of 27,070,595,445 versus a total put value of 37,007,493,150 Combined total value = 64,078,088,595
Strike 2326.75 has a total call value of 30,963,647,820 versus a total put value of 35,229,599,850 Combined total value = 66,193,247,670
Strike 2340 has a total call value of 38,883,565,020 versus a total put value of 32,026,668,075 Combined total value = 70,910,233,095
Strike 2346.15 has a total call value of 42,852,826,065 versus a total put value of 30,648,534,255 Combined total value = 73,501,360,320
Strike 2360 has a total call value of 52,034,387,175 versus a total put value of 27,662,622,450 Combined total value = 79,697,009,625
Strike 2365.55 has a total call value of 55,964,538,090 versus a total put value of 26,562,310,530 Combined total value = 82,526,848,620
Strike 2380 has a total call value of 66,428,382,765 versus a total put value of 23,917,661,415 Combined total value = 90,346,044,180
Strike 2384.95 has a total call value of 70,145,036,310 versus a total put value of 23,042,452,905 Combined total value = 93,187,489,215
Strike 2400 has a total call value of 81,518,176,830 versus a total put value of 20,393,091,540 Combined total value = 101,911,268,370
Strike 2404.3 has a total call value of 85,588,649,280 versus a total put value of 19,826,400,990 Combined total value = 105,415,050,270
Strike 2420 has a total call value of 100,602,937,650 versus a total put value of 17,828,150,520 Combined total value = 118,431,088,170
Strike 2423.7 has a total call value of 104,187,297,480 versus a total put value of 17,364,428,040 Combined total value = 121,551,725,520
Strike 2440 has a total call value of 120,439,721,040 versus a total put value of 15,761,750,100 Combined total value = 136,201,471,140
Strike 2443.1 has a total call value of 123,624,738,540 versus a total put value of 15,472,081,140 Combined total value = 139,096,819,680
Strike 2460 has a total call value of 141,128,695,530 versus a total put value of 13,892,918,100 Combined total value = 155,021,613,630
Strike 2462.5 has a total call value of 143,780,997,030 versus a total put value of 13,676,695,350 Combined total value = 157,457,692,380
Strike 2480 has a total call value of 162,494,191,530 versus a total put value of 12,218,292,600 Combined total value = 174,712,484,130
Strike 2481.9 has a total call value of 164,547,104,100 versus a total put value of 12,061,478,190 Combined total value = 176,608,582,290
Strike 2500 has a total call value of 184,238,586,420 versus a total put value of 10,643,118,750 Combined total value = 194,881,705,170
Strike 2501.25 has a total call value of 185,747,935,545 versus a total put value of 10,581,280,125 Combined total value = 196,329,215,670
Strike 2520 has a total call value of 208,516,793,670 versus a total put value of 9,667,026,375 Combined total value = 218,183,820,045
Strike 2520.65 has a total call value of 209,309,086,665 versus a total put value of 9,636,376,665 Combined total value = 218,945,463,330
Strike 2540 has a total call value of 233,179,647,210 versus a total put value of 8,723,958,375 Combined total value = 241,903,605,585
Strike 2540.05 has a total call value of 233,241,882,900 versus a total put value of 8,721,600,705 Combined total value = 241,963,483,605
Strike 2559.45 has a total call value of 257,486,443,140 versus a total put value of 7,807,424,205 Combined total value = 265,293,867,345
Strike 2560 has a total call value of 258,173,788,920 versus a total put value of 7,781,506,830 Combined total value = 265,955,295,750
Strike 2578.85 has a total call value of 282,019,323,555 versus a total put value of 6,893,830,170 Combined total value = 288,913,153,725
Strike 2580 has a total call value of 283,474,090,920 versus a total put value of 6,840,030,180 Combined total value = 290,314,121,100
Strike 2598.2 has a total call value of 306,497,365,740 versus a total put value of 5,988,586,860 Combined total value = 312,485,952,600
Strike 2600 has a total call value of 308,774,392,920 versus a total put value of 5,904,990,000 Combined total value = 314,679,382,920
Strike 2617.6 has a total call value of 331,703,775,000 versus a total put value of 5,211,050,160 Combined total value = 336,914,825,160
Strike 2620 has a total call value of 334,868,478,840 versus a total put value of 5,126,507,760 Combined total value = 339,994,986,600
Strike 2637 has a total call value of 357,285,131,040 versus a total put value of 4,529,766,960 Combined total value = 361,814,898,000
Strike 2640 has a total call value of 361,241,010,840 versus a total put value of 4,424,459,760 Combined total value = 365,665,470,600
Strike 2656.4 has a total call value of 382,982,028,360 versus a total put value of 3,849,793,920 Combined total value = 386,831,822,280
Strike 2660 has a total call value of 387,754,446,840 versus a total put value of 3,723,647,760 Combined total value = 391,478,094,600
Strike 2675.8 has a total call value of 408,700,061,280 versus a total put value of 3,170,494,500 Combined total value = 411,870,555,780
Strike 2680 has a total call value of 414,267,882,840 versus a total put value of 3,023,453,760 Combined total value = 417,291,336,600
Strike 2695.15 has a total call value of 434,397,219,705 versus a total put value of 2,493,056,805 Combined total value = 436,890,276,510
Strike 2700 has a total call value of 440,841,264,840 versus a total put value of 2,323,259,760 Combined total value = 443,164,524,600
Strike 2714.55 has a total call value of 460,502,503,785 versus a total put value of 1,830,503,640 Combined total value = 462,333,007,425
Strike 2720 has a total call value of 467,943,815,520 versus a total put value of 1,747,648,380 Combined total value = 469,691,463,900
Strike 2733.95 has a total call value of 486,990,842,805 versus a total put value of 1,538,586,705 Combined total value = 488,529,429,510
Strike 2740 has a total call value of 495,251,381,520 versus a total put value of 1,448,479,215 Combined total value = 496,699,860,735
Strike 2753.35 has a total call value of 513,479,181,825 versus a total put value of 1,249,646,985 Combined total value = 514,728,828,810
Strike 2760 has a total call value of 522,558,947,520 versus a total put value of 1,151,219,670 Combined total value = 523,710,167,190
Strike 2780 has a total call value of 549,866,513,520 versus a total put value of 855,815,670 Combined total value = 550,722,329,190
Strike 2792.1 has a total call value of 566,387,590,950 versus a total put value of 677,096,250 Combined total value = 567,064,687,200
Strike 2800 has a total call value of 577,257,565,140 versus a total put value of 561,144,000 Combined total value = 577,818,709,140
Strike 2820 has a total call value of 604,921,099,140 versus a total put value of 280,572,000 Combined total value = 605,201,671,140
Strike 2840 has a total call value of 632,584,633,140 versus a total put value of 0 Combined total value = 632,584,633,140
Max-Pain Table for Stocks
| Max Pain Table (Stocks) | ||
|---|---|---|
| Symbol | Symbol Ltp | Max Pain |
| 360ONE | 1137.9 | 1140 |
| ABB | 5231 | 5200 |
| ABCAPITAL | 348.2 | 350 |
| ADANIENSOL | 987.85 | 990 |
| ADANIENT | 2232 | 2300 |
| ADANIGREEN | 1021.2 | 1020 |
| ADANIPORTS | 1491.7 | 1500 |
| ALKEM | 5673.5 | 5700 |
| AMBER | 6731 | 6800 |
| AMBUJACEM | 546.45 | 555 |
| ANGELONE | 2520.4 | 2600 |
| APLAPOLLO | 1721.6 | 1740 |
| APOLLOHOSP | 7007.5 | 7200 |
| ASHOKLEY | 165.92 | 160 |
| ASIANPAINT | 2801.3 | 2800 |
| ASTRAL | 1444.4 | 1460 |
| AUBANK | 994 | 960 |
| AUROPHARMA | 1182.5 | 1200 |
| AXISBANK | 1229 | 1240 |
| BAJAJ-AUTO | 8944.5 | 9000 |
| BAJAJFINSV | 2030.6 | 2060 |
| BAJFINANCE | 1002.7 | 1020 |
| BANDHANBNK | 149.33 | 150 |
| BANKBARODA | 285.2 | 290 |
| BANKINDIA | 141.47 | 143 |
| BDL | 1339.2 | 1400 |
| BEL | 386.25 | 400 |
| BHARATFORG | 1402.5 | 1400 |
| BHARTIARTL | 2099.8 | 2100 |
| BHEL | 278 | 280 |
| BIOCON | 385.9 | 390 |
| BLUESTARCO | 1815 | 1780 |
| BOSCHLTD | 36295 | 36500 |
| BPCL | 368.35 | 365 |
| BRITANNIA | 6109 | 6000 |
| BSE | 2649 | 2700 |
| CAMS | 750.1 | 780 |
| CANBK | 150.21 | 149 |
| CDSL | 1489.3 | 1560 |
| CGPOWER | 682.85 | 680 |
| CHOLAFIN | 1709.5 | 1700 |
| CIPLA | 1495.3 | 1520 |
| COALINDIA | 383.8 | 384.75 |
| COFORGE | 1870.6 | 1840 |
| COLPAL | 2123 | 2180 |
| CONCOR | 498.4 | 520 |
| CROMPTON | 251.8 | 265 |
| CUMMINSIND | 4505.3 | 4500 |
| CYIENT | 1138.3 | 1160 |
| DABUR | 496.55 | 500 |
| DALBHARAT | 2047.6 | 2040 |
| DELHIVERY | 402.55 | 410 |
| DIVISLAB | 6362.5 | 6400 |
| DIXON | 13398 | 13750 |
| DLF | 684.8 | 710 |
| DMART | 3842.7 | 3900 |
| DRREDDY | 1271.7 | 1270 |
| EICHERMOT | 7151 | 7100 |
| ETERNAL | 286 | 295 |
| EXIDEIND | 361.9 | 375 |
| FEDERALBNK | 264.1 | 260 |
| FORTIS | 873.2 | 890 |
| GAIL | 169.62 | 175 |
| GLENMARK | 1958.8 | 1940 |
| GMRAIRPORT | 102.82 | 102 |
| GODREJCP | 1186.1 | 1160 |
| GODREJPROP | 2020.7 | 2080 |
| GRASIM | 2789.2 | 2800 |
| HAL | 4232 | 4450 |
| HAVELLS | 1397.8 | 1440 |
| HCLTECH | 1658.7 | 1660 |
| HDFCAMC | 2575.9 | 2620 |
| HDFCBANK | 988 | 1000 |
| HDFCLIFE | 756.5 | 770 |
| HEROMOTOCO | 5889 | 6000 |
| HFCL | 64.88 | 68 |
| HINDALCO | 845.55 | 820 |
| HINDPETRO | 468 | 460 |
| HINDUNILVR | 2281.3 | 2300 |
| HINDZINC | 583.8 | 550 |
| HUDCO | 210.1 | 220 |
| ICICIBANK | 1347.1 | 1370 |
| ICICIGI | 1947.6 | 1980 |
| ICICIPRULI | 635.45 | 630 |
| IDEA | 11.32 | 11 |
| IDFCFIRSTB | 83.45 | 82 |
| IEX | 140.82 | 145 |
| IIFL | 568.3 | 560 |
| INDHOTEL | 723.85 | 740 |
| INDIANB | 777.55 | 820 |
| INDIGO | 4951 | 5000 |
| INDUSINDBK | 837.9 | 850 |
| INDUSTOWER | 407.1 | 410 |
| INFY | 1598.1 | 1600 |
| INOXWIND | 126.35 | 130 |
| IOC | 168.3 | 166 |
| IRCTC | 668.35 | 690 |
| IREDA | 133.14 | 140 |
| IRFC | 111.75 | 116 |
| ITC | 402.1 | 405 |
| JINDALSTEL | 1007.6 | 1020 |
| JIOFIN | 294 | 305 |
| JSWENERGY | 480.7 | 490 |
| JSWSTEEL | 1086.3 | 1130 |
| JUBLFOOD | 556.25 | 580 |
| KALYANKJIL | 477.9 | 480 |
| KAYNES | 4197 | 4400 |
| KEI | 4082.2 | 4100 |
| KFINTECH | 1029.7 | 1060 |
| KOTAKBANK | 2179.3 | 2160 |
| KPITTECH | 1168.1 | 1200 |
| LAURUSLABS | 1012.1 | 1000 |
| LICHSGFIN | 526.65 | 550 |
| LICI | 856.1 | 880 |
| LODHA | 1076.6 | 1100 |
| LT | 4057.8 | 4040 |
| LTF | 302.3 | 302.5 |
| LTIM | 6228.5 | 6200 |
| LUPIN | 2116.1 | 2080 |
| M&M | 3614.4 | 3700 |
| MANAPPURAM | 284.8 | 280 |
| MANKIND | 2101.6 | 2200 |
| MARICO | 738.4 | 740 |
| MARUTI | 16412 | 16300 |
| MAXHEALTH | 1056.2 | 1100 |
| MAZDOCK | 2384.7 | 2550 |
| MCX | 10159 | 10100 |
| MFSL | 1661.8 | 1700 |
| MOTHERSON | 119.6 | 116 |
| MPHASIS | 2865.5 | 2900 |
| MUTHOOTFIN | 3834.8 | 3800 |
| NATIONALUM | 279.6 | 270 |
| NAUKRI | 1351.7 | 1360 |
| NBCC | 110.96 | 112 |
| NCC | 157.28 | 167.5 |
| NESTLEIND | 1237.7 | 1240 |
| NHPC | 75.49 | 78 |
| NMDC | 77.31 | 77 |
| NTPC | 321.35 | 325 |
| NUVAMA | 7223 | 7200 |
| NYKAA | 245.95 | 255 |
| OBEROIRLTY | 1627.8 | 1640 |
| OFSS | 7804 | 8000 |
| OIL | 402 | 410 |
| ONGC | 231.81 | 239 |
| PAGEIND | 36160 | 37000 |
| PATANJALI | 536 | 540 |
| PAYTM | 1279.1 | 1300 |
| PERSISTENT | 6302 | 6300 |
| PETRONET | 267.15 | 278 |
| PFC | 337.5 | 355 |
| PGEL | 563 | 560 |
| PHOENIXLTD | 1785.1 | 1740 |
| PIDILITIND | 1461 | 1480 |
| PIIND | 3221.8 | 3350 |
| PNB | 118.36 | 120 |
| PNBHOUSING | 910.85 | 910 |
| POLICYBZR | 1789.4 | 1840 |
| POLYCAB | 7100 | 7200 |
| POWERGRID | 261.15 | 270 |
| POWERINDIA | 19430 | 19500 |
| PPLPHARMA | 169 | 180 |
| PRESTIGE | 1606.3 | 1660 |
| RBLBANK | 296.9 | 310 |
| RECLTD | 335.35 | 350 |
| RELIANCE | 1543.7 | 1540 |
| RVNL | 308.4 | 315 |
| SAIL | 129.69 | 133 |
| SAMMAANCAP | 145.08 | 155 |
| SBICARD | 839.2 | 870 |
| SBILIFE | 2012.3 | 2020 |
| SBIN | 976.4 | 970 |
| SHREECEM | 26120 | 26500 |
| SHRIRAMFIN | 859 | 850 |
| SIEMENS | 3153.6 | 3200 |
| SOLARINDS | 11908 | 12500 |
| SONACOMS | 486.2 | 500 |
| SRF | 3009.4 | 2950 |
| SUNPHARMA | 1777.6 | 1800 |
| SUPREMEIND | 3370.5 | 3400 |
| SUZLON | 52.38 | 54 |
| SYNGENE | 644.1 | 650 |
| TATACONSUM | 1178.6 | 1170 |
| TATAELXSI | 5007 | 5100 |
| TATAMOTORS | 0 | 320 |
| TATAPOWER | 381.1 | 390 |
| TATASTEEL | 170.6 | 170 |
| TATATECH | 648.65 | 670 |
| TCS | 3225 | 3200 |
| TECHM | 1578.8 | 1540 |
| TIINDIA | 2627.2 | 2700 |
| TITAGARH | 782.35 | 800 |
| TITAN | 3929.9 | 3880 |
| TMPV | 348.05 | 360 |
| TORNTPHARM | 3743.2 | 3750 |
| TORNTPOWER | 1295.5 | 1300 |
| TRENT | 4082.8 | 4200 |
| TVSMOTOR | 3636.8 | 3600 |
| ULTRACEMCO | 11524 | 11700 |
| UNIONBANK | 153.61 | 155 |
| UNITDSPR | 1445.1 | 1440 |
| UNOMINDA | 1256.3 | 1280 |
| UPL | 749.3 | 750 |
| VBL | 474.2 | 470 |
| VEDL | 571.5 | 550 |
| VOLTAS | 1389 | 1380 |
| WIPRO | 260.97 | 255 |
| YESBANK | 21.55 | 22 |
| ZYDUSLIFE | 917.4 | 930 |
Note:
| Stock LTP > Max Pain | Bearish Trend |
| Stock LTP < Max Pain | Bullish Trend |
Frequently Asked Questions
Max Pain, also known as the max pain price, is the strike price at which the maximum number of option contracts (both puts and calls) would expire worthless, causing the largest financial losses for option holders at expiration. This price point represents the level where option writers would experience the least payout obligation.
The max pain theory suggests that as expiration approaches, market makers and option writers may attempt to influence the stock price toward this level to minimize their payout obligations, making it a significant reference point for traders analyzing option expiration dynamics.
Max Pain is calculated by determining the total dollar value of in-the-money options at each strike price. Here's the step-by-step process:
- For each strike price: Calculate the difference between the current stock price and the strike price.
- Multiply by Open Interest: Multiply this difference by the open interest (number of contracts) at that strike for both call and put options.
- Sum the values: Add together the dollar value for put options and call options at each strike price.
- Repeat for all strikes: Perform this calculation for every available strike price in the option chain.
- Identify the maximum: The strike price with the highest combined dollar value is the Max Pain price.
This calculation helps identify the price level where option writers would face the maximum financial loss if the stock closes at that price on expiration day.
Traders can incorporate Max Pain analysis into their trading strategy in several ways:
- Expiration Day Trading: As option expiration approaches, traders can use Max Pain as a potential support or resistance level, as market makers may attempt to push the price toward this level.
- Option Selection: Understanding Max Pain helps traders choose strike prices that are less likely to be manipulated, potentially improving their option trade outcomes.
- Risk Management: If a stock is trading far from Max Pain before expiration, traders can anticipate potential price movement toward this level and adjust their positions accordingly.
- Market Sentiment Indicator: Comparing the current stock price to Max Pain can provide insights into market sentiment and potential price direction near expiration.
- Hedging Strategy: Option writers can use Max Pain to identify strike prices where they might face the least payout risk, helping them structure more efficient hedging strategies.
Max Pain provides insights into potential stock price behavior, especially near option expiration:
- Price Magnet Effect: If the stock price is significantly above or below Max Pain before expiration, there may be a tendency for the price to move toward Max Pain as expiration approaches, as option writers hedge their positions.
- Support/Resistance Level: Max Pain can act as a psychological and technical support or resistance level, especially on expiration day, as it represents the price where maximum option value would be lost.
- Volatility Indicator: A large gap between current price and Max Pain may indicate higher potential volatility or price movement as expiration nears.
- Market Maker Activity: Significant open interest concentration around Max Pain suggests where market makers might have the most incentive to influence price movement through their hedging activities.
Note: Max Pain is a theoretical concept and should be used in conjunction with other technical and fundamental analysis tools, as it does not guarantee price movement.
Max Pain is a dynamic value that changes continuously based on several factors:
- Open Interest Changes: As traders open and close option positions, the open interest at different strike prices changes, which directly affects the Max Pain calculation.
- Stock Price Movement: As the underlying stock price moves, different strike prices become in-the-money or out-of-the-money, altering the dollar value calculations.
- Time Decay: As expiration approaches, the time value of options decreases, but the intrinsic value calculations for Max Pain continue to evolve with price movements.
- New Option Contracts: When new strike prices are added or when significant new positions are opened, Max Pain may shift to reflect the new distribution of open interest.
For accurate Max Pain analysis, traders should monitor it regularly, especially in the days leading up to expiration, as it can shift significantly as market conditions and option positions change.
Max Pain and Spot Price are two distinct concepts that serve different purposes in options trading:
- Spot Price (Current Market Price): This is the current trading price of the underlying stock or index in the market. It represents the real-time value at which the asset can be bought or sold immediately.
- Max Pain Price: This is a calculated theoretical price level based on option open interest data. It represents the strike price where option writers would face minimum payout obligations, not necessarily where the stock is currently trading.
The relationship between these two prices is crucial: when the spot price is far from Max Pain, traders may anticipate potential price movement toward Max Pain as expiration approaches. However, this is not guaranteed, and many other factors influence stock price movement.
No, Max Pain is not always accurate and should not be used as the sole indicator for predicting stock price movement. Here's why:
- Market Forces: Strong fundamental news, earnings reports, or significant market events can override the Max Pain effect and drive prices in unexpected directions.
- Institutional Activity: Large institutional trades, algorithmic trading, and other market participants may have different objectives than minimizing option payouts.
- Limited Influence: While market makers may attempt to influence price toward Max Pain, their ability to do so is limited, especially in highly liquid stocks with strong directional momentum.
- Multiple Expirations: Stocks often have options expiring on different dates (weekly, monthly), which means multiple Max Pain levels may exist simultaneously, reducing the predictive power of any single level.
- Statistical Tool: Max Pain is best viewed as a statistical tool that provides context about option market dynamics rather than a guaranteed price target.
Traders should use Max Pain as one of many tools in their analysis, combining it with technical analysis, fundamental analysis, and market sentiment indicators for more comprehensive decision-making.
Max Pain becomes increasingly relevant as option expiration approaches:
- Last Trading Week: Max Pain analysis is most useful during the final week before expiration, when option writers are actively hedging and the "pinning effect" (price movement toward Max Pain) is most likely to occur.
- Expiration Day: On the day of expiration, Max Pain can serve as a key reference level, as market makers may attempt to keep the stock price near this level to minimize their payout obligations.
- High Open Interest: Max Pain is more reliable when there is significant open interest concentrated around specific strike prices, as this indicates where option writers have the most exposure.
- Low Volatility Periods: During periods of low market volatility, Max Pain may have a stronger influence, as there are fewer competing forces driving price movement.
- Monthly Expirations: Monthly option expirations (typically the third Friday) often show stronger Max Pain effects compared to weekly expirations, due to higher open interest and more significant market maker involvement.
While Max Pain can be calculated at any time, its predictive value and practical application increase significantly as expiration approaches, making it particularly useful for short-term trading strategies focused on expiration week dynamics.































































































































































































































